Boeing forecasts demand for more than 35,000 new airplanes

PARIS, France – Boeing projects a demand for more than 35,000 new airplanes over the next 20 years, valued at $4.8 trillion. The company released its annual Current Market Outlook (CMO) today in Paris, forecasting the world fleet to double over the next two decades. Both passenger traffic and cargo traffic are expected to grow 5 percent annually.

“This forecast gives us confidence as we increase our production rates and invest in new products like the 777X and 787-10X,” said Randy Tinseth, vice president of Marketing, Boeing Commercial Airplanes. “Airlines are demanding more efficiency and that is exactly what we’ll be giving them.”

The single-aisle market, served by Boeing’s Next-Generation 737 and the future 737 MAX, is the main driver of the forecast and continues to show strength. 24,670 new airplanes will be needed in this segment due to the growth of low-cost carriers and airlines from emerging markets.

Widebodies, such as Boeing’s 747-8, 777 and 787 Dreamliner, also make up a large part of the forecast. 8,590 new airplanes will be needed in this segment, fueled in part by airlines replacing their older fleet with new, more fuel-efficient airplanes.

New Airplane Deliveries: 2013-2032

Airplane type
Seats
Total deliveries
Dollar value

Regional jets
90 and below
2,020
$80B

Single-aisle
90 – 230
24,670
$2,290B

Small wide-body
200 – 300
4,530
$1,100B

Medium wide-body
300 – 400
3,300
$1,090B

Large wide-body
400 and above
760
$280B

The market for new airplanes will continue to become more geographically balanced over the next two decades. Asia-Pacific, including China, will lead the way in total airplane deliveries.

New Airplane Deliveries: 2013-2032

Region
Airplane deliveries

Asia-Pacific
12,820

Europe
7,460

North America
7,250

Latin America
2,900

Middle East
2,610

C.I.S.
1,170

Africa
1,070

World Total
35,280

After facing high and volatile fuel prices and a highly competitive environment, airlines have been forced to change the way they manage their business.

“Our customers are focused on growing their networks, managing their capacity and investing in new fleets,” said Tinseth. “These trends will shape market demand for airplanes that have highly efficiency, low operating costs, environmentally progressive technologies and a great passenger experience. We believe Boeing’s current and future products are perfectly aligned to meet those needs.”